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The Bumpy Road Back To Recovery |
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April 13, 2010, 9:03PM
Coming off one of the worst years for real estate since the Great Depression, most developers say the housing landscape still looks rocky.
An inevitable rise in historically low mortgage rates, high unemployment, foreclosures, a state budget in financial crisis and a lack of credit will continue to plague New Jersey home builders as the decade unfolds, according to a panel of industry experts at the Atlantic Builder’s Convention in Atlantic City yesterday.
"It’s not going to be one of those things where we’ll have an ‘aha’ moment and say: ‘That’s when it’s going to happen,’ " said David Crowe, chief economist for the National Association of Home Builders, referring to a turnaround.
Now that the Federal Reserve has stopped buying bad loans, the six-month streak of falling interest rates seems to be at an end.
Last week, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to an eight-month high of 5.31 percent.
And some estimates push that number to more than 6 percent by 2011, chipping away at affordability. "That will assure that our housing market will be constrained for a very long time," said Jeffrey Otteau of the Otteau Valuation Group, an East Brunswick real estate appraisal firm.
Things don’t look too good for job growth, either.
Crowe said he expects the unemployment rate to hover around 8 percent for the next several years. And in New Jersey, where about one in five adults are employed by the government, Gov. Chris Christie’s budget eventually will affect housing.
In the previous decade, the private sector lost about 223,000 jobs, while government jobs grew by 57,000 positions, according to the Otteau Valuation Group.
"But the state doesn’t have a choice at this point," said Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors.
Naroff said in the long term, health care reform legislation will help create state jobs in one of New Jersey’s most crucial sectors: pharmaceuticals.
The outlook, however, for the state’s real estate isn’t too sunny for at least the next several years.
Housing prices are now at 2004 levels. And there is a 16-year supply of age-restricted, or senior, housing in the state. Otteau said luxury housing will perhaps never fully recover.
He predicted housing prices won’t reach 2005 levels until at least 2020. The children of Baby Boomers won’t have the wherewithal to handle the mortgages accompanying their parent’s three-car garages, outdoor kitchens and McMansions, he said.
"What we’re going to see is a more European market model efficiency," he said of future housing, adding that home prices will first come back in North and Central Jersey because of their proximity to business centers. "Homebuyers will seek to live close to jobs and transportation."
The consensus among the panel’s three members was that at least the real estate market won’t get any worse.
"We are in for some good news," Crowe said. "But this is a steady steep climb out of a deep hole." |
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North Jersey Home Prices Down 5.5% in Fourth Quarter 2009, to Median $434,000 |
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February 11, 2010
Kathleen Lynn
The Record
The housing market’s steep price slide appears to be slowing, according to data released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors.
The median price of an existing single-family home in North Jersey and the New York metropolitan area was $434,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009, down 5.5 percent from a year earlier, the NAR said. Nationally, prices declined 4.1 percent in that period, to a median $172,900.
Prices in North Jersey and the metro area are more than $100,000 below the peaks of around $540,000 reached in 2006 and 2007.
Patrick O’Keefe, an economist with the accounting firm J.H. Cohn in Roseland, thinks the big price declines are over for now.
"I think prices in New Jersey will stabilize and trend upward slightly over the rest of the year, primarily because the economic environment looks to be improving," O’Keefe said. "We should start adding jobs in the second quarter of the year." A brighter jobs picture would make buyers more confident about taking on mortgages.
The volume of sales jumped in the fourth quarter, apparently boosted by the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time buyers, which was originally scheduled to expire Nov. 30. That credit was extended to sales that are under contract by April 30 and close by June 30. In addition, a $6,500 credit was added for repeat buyers.
Sales of condos, co-ops and single-family homes in New Jersey rose 34 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, to 135,600 units. That’s still below the levels of the housing boom, when yearly sales topped 180,000 in 2004 and 2005.
Real estate broker Vikki CQ Healey CQ of Vikki Healey Properties in Maywood said she thought prices in the area were down a little more than the NAR data suggests — maybe 7 or 8 percent.
"We have such a preponderance of short sales and foreclosures in the market; those prices are really bring down the averages quite a bit," she said.
But she agreed that the volume of sales was way up over late 2008, in part because of the depressed market activity after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.
"Nothing was selling; it didn’t matter what the price was, what the interest rate was," she said. "That was when the financial crisis hit, and we were paralyzed."
Now, however, homes priced at the lower end of the market are selling, and the most attractive properties — in good locations, well-maintained and reasonably priced — are drawing multiple offers, Healey said.
"Based on the rising number of resales, it appears that the market has found its footing," Jarrod C. Grasso, chief executive of the N.J. Association of Realtors, said in a statement. "As the general economy begins to recover and jobs are added, the pace of housing sales should accelerate."
E-mail: lynn@northjersey.com
The housing market’s steep price slide appears to be slowing, according to data released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors.
The median price of an existing single-family home in North Jersey and the New York metropolitan area was $434,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009, down 5.5 percent from a year earlier, the NAR said. Nationally, prices declined 4.1 percent in that period, to a median $172,900.
Around the nation
Despite recent price drops, the N.Y. metro area, including North Jersey, remains one of the priciest in the nation:
| Area |
Median price* |
| N.Y. |
$434,000 |
| Honolulu |
$612,300 |
| San Francisco |
$551,300 |
| Boston |
$332,800 |
| Los Angeles |
$352,700 |
| U.S. |
$172,900 |
*Existing single-family home
Source: National Association of Realtors
Prices in North Jersey and the metro area are more than $100,000 below the peaks of around $540,000 reached in 2006 and 2007.
Patrick O’Keefe, an economist with the accounting firm J.H. Cohn in Roseland, thinks the big price declines are over for now.
"I think prices in New Jersey will stabilize and trend upward slightly over the rest of the year, primarily because the economic environment looks to be improving," O’Keefe said. "We should start adding jobs in the second quarter of the year." A brighter jobs picture would make buyers more confident about taking on mortgages.
The volume of sales jumped in the fourth quarter, apparently boosted by the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time buyers, which was originally scheduled to expire Nov. 30. That credit was extended to sales that are under contract by April 30 and close by June 30. In addition, a $6,500 credit was added for repeat buyers.
Sales of condos, co-ops and single-family homes in New Jersey rose 34 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, to 135,600 units. That’s still below the levels of the housing boom, when yearly sales topped 180,000 in 2004 and 2005.
Real estate broker Vikki CQ Healey CQ of Vikki Healey Properties in Maywood said she thought prices in the area were down a little more than the NAR data suggests — maybe 7 or 8 percent.
"We have such a preponderance of short sales and foreclosures in the market; those prices are really bring down the averages quite a bit," she said.
But she agreed that the volume of sales was way up over late 2008, in part because of the depressed market activity after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.
"Nothing was selling; it didn’t matter what the price was, what the interest rate was," she said. "That was when the financial crisis hit, and we were paralyzed."
Now, however, homes priced at the lower end of the market are selling, and the most attractive properties — in good locations, well-maintained and reasonably priced — are drawing multiple offers, Healey said.
"Based on the rising number of resales, it appears that the market has found its footing," Jarrod C. Grasso, chief executive of the N.J. Association of Realtors, said in a statement. "As the general economy begins to recover and jobs are added, the pace of housing sales should accelerate." |
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Westfield January 2010 Home Sales |
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January 2010 Home Sale Prices and Market Statistics

| Address |
Original List Price |
List Price at Sale |
Sale Price |
DOM |
Beds |
Baths |
Style |
| 532 Pierson St |
$299,000 |
$299,000 |
$305,000 |
38 |
3 |
1 |
Colonial |
| 1325 Boulevard |
$419,000 |
$399,000 |
$405,000 |
44 |
4 |
1 |
CapeCod |
| 437 Mountain Ave |
$579,000 |
$549,000 |
$515,000 |
85 |
4 |
1.1 |
Colonial |
| 414 Birch Pl |
$699,900 |
$699,900 |
$675,000 |
28 |
3 |
3.1 |
Colonial |
| 145 W Dudley Ave |
$810,000 |
$810,000 |
$847,500 |
7 |
4 |
2.1 |
Colonial |
| 3 Hawthorne Dr |
$875,000 |
$875,000 |
$901,000 |
10 |
3 |
2.1 |
Colonial |
| 785 Hyslip Ave |
$965,000 |
$965,000 |
$922,500 |
58 |
4 |
2.1 |
SplitLev |
| 857 Highland Avenue |
$999,950 |
$999,950 |
$925,000 |
81 |
3 |
2.2 |
RanchExp |
| 304 Woods End Rd |
$1,495,000 |
$1,495,000 |
$1,400,000 |
119 |
5 |
5.1 |
Colonial |
| 958 Prospect St |
$1,799,000 |
$1,799,000 |
$1,675,000 |
40 |
5 |
3.1 |
Colonial |
| 4 Dorset Hill Road |
$1,999,900 |
$1,999,900 |
$1,787,500 |
86 |
5 |
5.1 |
Colonial |
AVERAGE DAYS ON MARKET:54 AVERAGE LISTING PRICE:$922,717
AVERAGE SALE PRICE:$941,682 % SALE PRICE / LIST PRICE:95%
Westfield Home sale Trends January 2009 thru January 2010
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desc
|
Jan. 2009
|
Feb.
|
March
|
April
|
May
|
June
|
|
Average Listing Price
|
$880,814
|
$868,749
|
$856,332
|
$860,399
|
$877,681
|
$890,201
|
|
Average Sale Price
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$622,500
|
$779,080
|
$619,250
|
$647,687
|
$638,043
|
$735,761
|
|
%Sale Price to List Price Ratio
|
97%
|
94%
|
97%
|
92%
|
93%
|
98%
|
|
Days on Market
|
110
|
64
|
107
|
92
|
90
|
53
|
|
# of Active
Listings
|
195
|
204
|
237
|
158
|
254
|
240
|
|
# of Closed Listings
|
6
|
16
|
10
|
17
|
23
|
38
|
|
desc
|
July
|
Aug
|
Sept
|
Oct.
|
Nov.
|
Dec.
|
Jan.2010
|
|
Average Listing Price
|
$916,884
|
$872,824
|
$906,574
|
$955,512
|
974,787
|
$970,023
|
$922,717
|
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Average Sale Price
|
$655,395
|
$660,181
|
$713,943
|
$677,149
|
713,094
|
$794,362
|
$941,682
|
|
%Sale Price to List Price Ratio
|
95%
|
97%
|
97%
|
98%
|
97%
|
96%
|
95%
|
|
Days On Market
|
90
|
83
|
58
|
61
|
74
|
57
|
54
|
|
# of Active
Listings
|
222
|
188
|
188
|
194
|
158
|
135
|
145
|
|
# of Closed Listings
|
47
|
30
|
26
|
27
|
31
|
26
|
11
|
|
Jan. 2010
|
Active Listings
|
New Listings
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Under Contract
|
Sold Listings
|
Average
|
SP/LP
|
|
# Beds
|
Avg LP
|
Avg LP
|
Avg LP
|
Avg LP
|
DOM
|
%
|
|
1
|
$175,315
|
$187,495
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0%
|
|
2
|
$552,170
|
$739,000
|
$0
|
$0
|
0
|
0%
|
|
3
|
$511,978
|
$540,822
|
$573,750
|
$701,500
|
39
|
98%
|
|
4
|
$932,054
|
$758,850
|
$779,500
|
$672,500
|
49
|
99%
|
|
5
|
$1,367,684
|
$1,184,761
|
$1,104,760
|
$1,620,833
|
82
|
92%
|
|
TOWN
|
$922,717
|
$810,170
|
$822,182
|
$941,682
|
54
|
95%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|

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North Jersey home prices down 5.5% in fourth quarter 2009, to median $434,000 |
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From The Record:
The housing market’s steep price slide appears to be slowing, according to data released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors.
The median price of an existing single-family home in North Jersey and the New York metropolitan area was $434,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009, down 5.5 percent from a year earlier, the NAR said. Nationally, prices declined 4.1 percent in that period, to a median $172,900.
Prices in North Jersey and the metro area are more than $100,000 below the peaks of around $540,000 reached in 2006 and 2007.
Patrick O’Keefe, an economist with the accounting firm J.H. Cohn in Roseland, thinks the big price declines are over for now.
"I think prices in New Jersey will stabilize and trend upward slightly over the rest of the year, primarily because the economic environment looks to be improving," O’Keefe said. "We should start adding jobs in the second quarter of the year." A brighter jobs picture would make buyers more confident about taking on mortgages.
The volume of sales jumped in the fourth quarter, apparently boosted by the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time buyers, which was originally scheduled to expire Nov. 30. That credit was extended to sales that are under contract by April 30 and close by June 30. In addition, a $6,500 credit was added for repeat buyers.
Sales of condos, co-ops and single-family homes in New Jersey rose 34 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, to 135,600 units. That’s still below the levels of the housing boom, when yearly sales topped 180,000 in 2004 and 2005.
Real estate broker Vikki CQ Healey CQ of Vikki Healey Properties in Maywood said she thought prices in the area were down a little more than the NAR data suggests — maybe 7 or 8 percent.
"We have such a preponderance of short sales and foreclosures in the market; those prices are really bring down the averages quite a bit," she said.
But she agreed that the volume of sales was way up over late 2008, in part because of the depressed market activity after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.
"Nothing was selling; it didn’t matter what the price was, what the interest rate was," she said. "That was when the financial crisis hit, and we were paralyzed."
Now, however, homes priced at the lower end of the market are selling, and the most attractive properties — in good locations, well-maintained and reasonably priced — are drawing multiple offers, Healey said.
"Based on the rising number of resales, it appears that the market has found its footing," Jarrod C. Grasso, chief executive of the N.J. Association of Realtors, said in a statement. "As the general economy begins to recover and jobs are added, the pace of housing sales should accelerate."
E-mail: lynn@northjersey.com
The housing market’s steep price slide appears to be slowing, according to data released Thursday by the National Association of Realtors.
The median price of an existing single-family home in North Jersey and the New York metropolitan area was $434,000 in the fourth quarter of 2009, down 5.5 percent from a year earlier, the NAR said. Nationally, prices declined 4.1 percent in that period, to a median $172,900.
Around the nation
Despite recent price drops, the N.Y. metro area, including North Jersey, remains one of the priciest in the nation:
| Area |
Median price* |
| N.Y. |
$434,000 |
| Honolulu |
$612,300 |
| San Francisco |
$551,300 |
| Boston |
$332,800 |
| Los Angeles |
$352,700 |
| U.S. |
$172,900 |
*Existing single-family home
Source: National Association of Realtors
Prices in North Jersey and the metro area are more than $100,000 below the peaks of around $540,000 reached in 2006 and 2007.
Patrick O’Keefe, an economist with the accounting firm J.H. Cohn in Roseland, thinks the big price declines are over for now.
"I think prices in New Jersey will stabilize and trend upward slightly over the rest of the year, primarily because the economic environment looks to be improving," O’Keefe said. "We should start adding jobs in the second quarter of the year." A brighter jobs picture would make buyers more confident about taking on mortgages.
The volume of sales jumped in the fourth quarter, apparently boosted by the $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time buyers, which was originally scheduled to expire Nov. 30. That credit was extended to sales that are under contract by April 30 and close by June 30. In addition, a $6,500 credit was added for repeat buyers.
Sales of condos, co-ops and single-family homes in New Jersey rose 34 percent in the quarter from a year earlier, to 135,600 units. That’s still below the levels of the housing boom, when yearly sales topped 180,000 in 2004 and 2005.
Real estate broker Vikki CQ Healey CQ of Vikki Healey Properties in Maywood said she thought prices in the area were down a little more than the NAR data suggests — maybe 7 or 8 percent.
"We have such a preponderance of short sales and foreclosures in the market; those prices are really bring down the averages quite a bit," she said.
But she agreed that the volume of sales was way up over late 2008, in part because of the depressed market activity after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008.
"Nothing was selling; it didn’t matter what the price was, what the interest rate was," she said. "That was when the financial crisis hit, and we were paralyzed."
Now, however, homes priced at the lower end of the market are selling, and the most attractive properties — in good locations, well-maintained and reasonably priced — are drawing multiple offers, Healey said.
"Based on the rising number of resales, it appears that the market has found its footing," Jarrod C. Grasso, chief executive of the N.J. Association of Realtors, said in a statement. "As the general economy begins to recover and jobs are added, the pace of housing sales should accelerate."
E-mail: lynn@northjersey.com
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Star-Ledger: NJ Sees 29 percent, Year-End Jump in Residential Foreclosure Filings |
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N.J. sees 29 percent, year-end jump in residential foreclosure filings
January 20, 2010, 10:45AM
JENNIFER BROWN/THE STAR-LEDGERA vacant, foreclosed property on Carolina Ave in Newark. As the real estate market struggles to gain its footing back, the state's number of residential foreclosure fillings jumped 29 percent at year's end from 2008, according to data from the state judiciary.
Homeowners saw a record number of foreclosure filings in 2009. The housing crisis as well as the jobless rate -- of 10.1 percent, which recently eclipsed the national rate in December -- wreaked havoc on New Jerseyans who were forced into loan modifications, short sales, and even foreclosure.
Last year, banks filled 62,775 filings, up from 48, 698 in 2008.That's a far cry from 2006, when only about 23,000 notices were filled.
The parts of the state with the widest margins of fillings increase were Atlantic and Bergen counties -- 55 percent and 48 percent, respectively.
And the counties that saw the smallest jumps were Cumberland and Essex Counties -- 11 percent and 12 percent increases, each.
Not all homeowners who receive foreclosure notices eventually lose their homes, and state and federal programs have helped thousands renegotiate loans to avoid foreclosure.
The New Jersey's Foreclosure Mediation Program has completed more than 1,300 cases, according to the latest statistics from the state judiciary. About half of the homeowners were able to stay in their homes.
And more than 28,000 New Jerseyans have enrolled in the Obama administration's $75 billion plan to hedge against residential foreclosures, according to a U.S. Treasury report released earlier this month.
But, as of last month, only 2,027 struggling state borrowers have received permanent modifications.
And across the country, New Jersey is among the top 10 states with the highest foreclosure rates, according to RealtyTrac.
More than 2.8 million properties received foreclosure filings across the country in 2009, according to RealtyTrac, a 21 percent increase in total properties from the previous year.
That number represents both commercial and residential filings, though -- the Irvine-Calif.-based firm does not make a distinction between the two. |
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N.J. Real Estate Prices Headed Up |
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Monday, January 11, 2010
BY KATHLEEN LYNN
The Record
STAFF WRITER
New Jersey home prices have bottomed out and will rise about 2 percent this year, real estate appraiser Jeffrey Otteau predicted Monday.
“While things will get better from here, they’re going to get better at a slow, steady and sustained pace,” Otteau said. Otteau is based in East Brunswick, but he analyzes real estate markets around the state.
He predicted that this year’s spring housing market will surge as buyers rush to take advantage of a federal tax credit that expires April 30.
“We can look ahead to the first significant spring bounce in sales in five years,” Otteau said in a talk before the East Bergen Board of Realtors in Hackensack.
He predicted that prices, which he says have fallen about 18 percent since the peak of the market in 2006, will rise only about 3 percent a year for the next five years. As a result, home values won’t return to their 2005 levels until 2016.
Otteau’s prediction is in line with other forecasts that home values will be either rise slightly or be flat this year. No one is predicting a jump in values, and some analysts expect further declines.
Otteau said the housing recovery will be slow as foreclosures continue “flooding into the system” and high unemployment keeps potential buyers out of the market.
He said home sellers have to price their properties competitively, because buyers will not be willing or able to overpay. Aside from buyers’ stagnating incomes, lenders are no longer giving mortgages to unqualified buyers.
Otteau predicted that the more affordable end of the market will continue to be the most active, as first-time buyers take advantage of the $8,000 federal tax credit. (A $6,500 credit for repeat buyers was added in November.)
In addition, he said, there’s a lot of pent-up demand among would-be buyers who have held off during the economic upheavals of the recession and housing bust.
“They’re going to begin to feed back into the market in the next couple of years,” Otteau said.
But sellers trying to unload million-dollar-plus homes are in trouble, he said.
“The luxury end of the market will probably never recover,” he said. He said that as baby boomers downsize from big homes, there will be fewer younger buyers who can afford to buy those properties.
There’s an even bigger oversupply of 55-and-up housing units, which were overbuilt during the housing boom, Otteau said. He estimates there is a 16-year supply of those units available.
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New Jersey Market Watch -- Home Prices Still Falling |
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Trying for a comeback: New Jersey's housing market in 2010
December 23, 2009, 12:04AM
After putting the nation's economy through the spin cycle, the real estate market this year could take a break.
 Home prices look as if they’ve reached their lowest points, and people are starting to take deep breaths and buy again. It’s beneficial, too, that the federal government has helped keep mortgage rates down, in the 5 percent range, and Congress extended and expanded tax credits so they reach almost all potential buyers — not just first-timers anymore. Together, this means houses remain more affordable than they were for decades.
However, it’s tough to pay your mortgage without a job, and New Jersey’s labor market is key to a recovery in home prices.
“The worst is behind us, but the labor market is the big cloud going forward,” says Rutgers economist Joseph Seneca. If the economy does what’s being called a “double dip” or a “W,” more people could lose their jobs, and eventually their homes. But for now, most local markets have already stopped their price slide, and some markets are even coming back.
Overbuilt Hudson County will continue to struggle. Manhattan’s weak market is sapping demand from Hudson County, and deep South Jersey is hurt by being far from major job centers — Philadelphia and New York — and by Atlantic City’s losing streak.
On the positive side, prime houses along the Jersey Shore and on lakes or other bodies of water could be a bright spot this spring, says Jeffrey Otteau, an appraiser who tracks New Jersey home prices. Those gems on the water will start getting snatched up as people who can afford million dollar homes feel more comfortable in the new economy. Perhaps their companies won’t fold, after all. They’ll need some place to celebrate this summer.
Good news for home sellers is that while they don’t exactly have the upper hand, they may not feel as desperate to sell before prices fall any further. “It gets better from here,” Otteau says. “Some markets will be experiencing modest, gentle price increases.”
Plus, more New Jerseyans are eligible this year for government checks rewarding them for buying homes. The tax credit, with some income restrictions, gives up to $8,000 to people (spouses included) who have not owned a home in three years.
Many current homeowners, left out of the last round, now are eligible for a credit of up ton $6,500 if they purchase a new home, as long as they have lived in their current the last eight years. Buyers must close on the property by the end of June, provided they have a contract by May 1.
Still, sellers will be up against more competition from the “shadow market” — something that’s not quite as spooky as it sounds. This market is composed of sellers who had been waiting on the sidelines, because they figured it wasn’t worth putting their homes on the market when buyers were scarce. They’ll come out, adding to the supply.
Confidence, key to the residential market, is also important for the commercial market, especially in retail. Chuck Lanyard of retail real estate company the Goldstein Group says vacancy rates will stay about the same at 8 percent to 9 percent, though mom-and-pop stores in downtowns could decide to pack it in.
New home builders had it rough last year, selling a third of what had been moving. Sales of new homes have been slower to pick up pace than existing homes.
“We don’t really have a lot of down to go,” says Joseph Riggs, group president in charge of New Jersey and other areas for K. Hovnanian Homes. “We think we really only have one way to go, and that’s up.”
BEST THING THAT COULD HAPPEN: Home prices rise slowly. It could take years to get back to the highs of 2005 and 2006. Jeffrey Otteau, who tracks home prices, predicts no change in 2010 prices. However, New Jersey should see a 3 percent rise in 2011.
WORST THING THAT COULD HAPPEN: The economy retreats, consumers and employers get scared, and more people lose their jobs. The government pulls back support, mortgage rates rise and sales fall. Foreclosures and fear send prices down again.
THREE DATES TO PUT ON YOUR CALENDAR:
Jan. 30 A good time to look at home buying. There should be a lot of sales as buyers come back.
April 1 A federal program to buy mortgage backed securities is set to expire. The government has piled cash into the market, keeping rates down, but who knows where they will go after the tether is cut.
July 1 Barring further extensions, this is the first day the real estate market has to support itself without government tax credits. The credits to buyers expire June 30, though homes must have been under contract by May 1. |
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Downtown Westfield Goes Green! |
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By Downtown Westfield Corporation 12/10/2009
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Cascade Tree Service, contracted by Downtown Westfield Corporation, puts the finishing touches on the downtown planters filling them with greens and red bows for the upcoming holiday season supplied by Williams Nursery. The DWC invested in 24 pole baskets as part of the America in Bloom competition in Summer 2009 and had them decorated with balsam and pine greens to complement the refurbished wreaths and seasonal banners installed annually by Cascade Tree Service of Gillette, NJ. |
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New Jersey Market News |
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FROM THE DAILY RECORD:
1 in 7 N.J. homeowners owe more than property is worth
But negative equity a bigger problem in many other states
ROB JENNINGS • STAFF WRITER • December 6, 2009
Nearly one in seven New Jersey homeowners owe more on their mortgage than their property is worth, according to a recently released nationwide study.
New Jersey, though, fared significantly better in the third quarter than the national average, in which nearly 23 percent of U.S. homeowners were grappling with negative equity.
The study by First American CoreLogic, a real-estate information company in California, is reflected in the ongoing phenomenon of "short sales'' - the term for when the proceeds from a house sale are insufficient to pay off the mortgage. In New Jersey, there were 290,838 mortgages, or 15.4 percent, in which the homeowner owed more than the value of their property as of September.
The study did not look specifically at Morris County - data was created at the ZIP code level, the company said - but provided breakdowns for two regions in New Jersey. In Atlantic City-Hamilton, 14,155 mortgaged properties, or 19.54 percent, were in negative equity. In Trenton-Ewing, 12,534 properties, or 14.88 percent, were in negative equity.
"Negative equity continues to be pervasive and to impact almost every segment of the housing market,'' said Mark Fleming, chief economist with First American CoreLogic.
Typically referred to as "under water'' or "upside down,'' negative equity typically results from a decline in value, an increase in mortgage debt or a pernicious combination of both, the company noted.
Adjustable-rate mortgages, defined as a loan with an interest rate that can rise, also have been a factor, the report stated.
Lyle Wolf, owner of Exit Realty Gold Service in Mountain Lakes, is among the Realtors handling short sales in the Morris County region.
"Morris County is not as bad as a lot of other places in New Jersey. We're a fairly wealthy place in general,'' he said.
The study found that negative equity disproportionately involves less-expensive homes. While the average value for all properties with a mortgage is $270,200, properties in negative equity had an average value of $210,300, or 22 percent less, the study found.
Steve Alessandrini, vice president of corporate communications for Weichert Realtors in Morris Plains, was encouraged by New Jersey's loan-to-value ratio … the amount of the mortgage expressed as a percentage of the value - of 62 percent.
"New Jersey actually had one of the lowest loan-to-value ratios. That's a good sign that, collectively, New Jersey homeowners are not overly leveraged,'' Alessandrini said.
He added that, for many homeowners with negative equity, the problem might prove self-correcting.
"The largest number of people who are currently under water are those who have bought their homes in the last few years. If they're going to be in their home seven to 10 years, that's not likely to be a problem when it comes time to sell,'' Alessandrini said.
Negative equity, while national in scope, is heavily concentrated in five states, the study found. Nevada, with 65 percent, had the highest percentage of negative equity. Florida and California, with 45 percent and 35 percent respectively, had 4.4 million, or 42 percent, of all negative equity loans.
Nationwide, homes bought in recent years with low or no downpayments clearly played a role. Experts generally advise making a downpayment of at least 20 percent of the property's value, though many prospective homeowners secured loans with far less cash on hand.
James Hughes, dean of the Edward J. Bloustein School of Planning and Public Policy at Rutgers University, criticized "lax lending standards, which allowed very low downpayments.
"We still have that problem with FHA mortgages,'' Hughes said, referring to Federal Housing Administration regulations, currently under review, allowing for downpayments of as low as 3.5 percent.
The First American study was based on 47 million properties with a mortgage, representing more than 90 percent of the nation's mortgages. It used public record data, including first mortgage and junior mortgage liens, the company said.
Rob Jennings: (973) 428-6667; robjennings@gannett.com
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Spend New Year's Even With The Westfield Symphony |
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By Westfield Symphony 12/4/2009
On Thursday, December 31st, at 7 p.m., under the baton of Maestro David Wroe, the fully professional Westfield Symphony Orchestra again presents one of New Jersey ’s most popular New Year’s Eve musical celebrations. This year’s performance, THE GREAT AMERICAN SONGBOOK, promises a superb revue of American musical theater classics presented in glorious symphonic splendor.
The concert has become a music event eagerly anticipated by much of central New Jersey . This year’s line up reads like a Who’s Who of the best of American musical theater - Irving Berlin, Jerome Kern, Richard Rodgers and Oscar Hammerstein, Stephen Sondheim and John Kander and Fred Ebb are just some of the superb composers celebrated in the show, which also features international guest vocalists direct from the Broadway stage.
THE GREAT AMERICAN SONGBOOK gives insight into the wacky, the tender, the comic, and the tragic elements of musical theater. An event for the whole family, this is a friendly cabaret–style concert for adults to reminisce to songs they all know, for kids to enjoy some of the more peculiar characters to grace Broadway’s stage, and for us all to revel in the musical genius of some of America’s finest musical theater composers and professional performers.
The concert will take place in the newly refurbished Westfield High School auditorium, 550 Dorian Road in Westfield, and will finish at approximately 9pm.
TICKET INFORMATION
The WSO recommends making reservations as soon as possible as tickets are selling fast and last year’s concert was a sell-out. Tickets in advance are $35 for general admission and $65 for preferred seating ($40 and $70 at the door, if available.) Tickets may be purchased directly from the WSO by calling (908) 232-9400 or visiting the office at 224 E. Broad Street , Westfield. Tickets are also available from The Town Bookstore in Westfield, Martin Jewelers in Cranford and Paperfolio in Summit.
About Westfield Symphony Orchestra
The Westfield Symphony Orchestra is a premiere, fully professional, symphony orchestra. Founded in 1983, WSO has grown to become New Jersey ’s second largest professional orchestra, having a presence throughout the cultural communities of New Jersey, and appearing as far afield as Carnegie Hall on a regular basis.
Now in its 27th season, with multiple performances each year, WSO, lead by renowned Music Director David Wroe, is viewed as one of the cultural jewels of the metropolitan area. Cited by the Star Ledger as "the leading professional freelance orchestra in NJ", WSO is recognized by the NJ State Council on the Arts as a Distinguished Arts Organization and is the resident orchestra of Union County. In 2007, 2008 and 2009, the WSO was further honored with Citations of Excellence from NJSCA.
In addition to an adventurous subscription season, popular concerts near and far, and a rousing New Year’s Eve celebration, the WSO sponsors educational programs for school students throughout the state of New Jersey.
Photo above:
Photo credit: David Samsky |
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Northeast Home Sales Soar 25 Percent in October (New York Times) |
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By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: November 23, 2009
Filed at 3:12 p.m. ET
NEW YORK (AP) -- Home sales in the Northeast soared in October as first-time buyers clamored to close deals before the expiration of a federal tax credit.
The nine-state region registered 85,000 home resales last month, up 25 percent from a year ago when the financial crisis gripped the country, the National Association of Realtors said Monday. The median price, however, fell about 3 percent to $235,400.
Nationally, sales of existing homes jumped almost 21 percent from October last year, without adjusting for seasonal factors. The median sales price tumbled 7 percent to $173,100.
The surge in sales came as many first-time homebuyers rushed to qualify for an $8,000 tax credit that was scheduled to expire at the end of this month before Congress extended it through April.
Buyers who have owned their current homes for at least five years are eligible for a tax credit of up to $6,500, while first-time homebuyers -- or anyone who hasn't owned a home in the last three years -- can still get up to $8,000.
''The only reason we're seeing good numbers is because of government policies that are propping the market up,'' said Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight. ''Housing is still fundamentally weak.''
All nine major Northeast cities tracked in the Associated Press-Re/Max Monthly Housing Report showed annual increases in home sales last month. The report, also released Monday, analyzed sales transactions in the metropolitan statistical areas recorded by all real estate agents, regardless of company affiliation.
Here are some highlights from the region:
--Biggest sales gain: Trenton, N.J., saw sales climb by 45 percent from a year ago. Prices there continue to fall, tumbling 11 percent year-over-year to $231,500.
Lower-priced homes between $150,000 to $350,000, are leading the brisk sales, said T. Christopher Hill, an agent with Re/Max TriCounty in Hamilton Township, N.J., thanks in large part to the first-time homebuyer tax credit.
''I hope the extended credit has a domino effect and drives up the move-up market,'' he said.
As for November? Hill predicts a strong sales month, but the numbers won't be as high as September and October.
-- Smallest sales gain: Sales in the New York City suburbs increased 5 percent in October, while the median price lost 3 percent to $385,000.
Despite lagging in the region, the performance was a step up for the area which has been battered by job losses in the financial sector.
Similar to other metros, the lower priced homes, those below $400,000, are selling the quickest, with many receiving multiple offers, said Kevin O'Shea, an agent with Homes of Westchester.
''We're having a fairly busy November,'' he said. ''There are a decent number of closings and a decent number of people still looking around.''
--Biggest price gain: For October, Pittsburgh prices inched up 2 percent from a year ago to $118,000, the only price increase in the region. Sales there rose almost 11 percent.
''We weren't invited to the party, so we don't have a hangover,'' said Dan Kite of Northwood Realty Services, explaining the relative stability of Pittsburgh's home prices.
Sales there continue to outpace last year, he said, and he expects the market to get into ''high gear'' after the holidays as more buyers and sellers capitalize on the expanded tax credit.
--Biggest price decline: Manchester, N.H., recorded the worst price decline in the region. The median home price fell more than 12 percent to $202,000, but sales there jumped almost 17 percent year-over-year.
''I'm busy like crazy,'' said Nancy Philbrick, a real estate agent with Prudential Verani Realty in New Hampshire. ''Prices are low, rates are low. I hope buyers remember that after the credit expires next year.''
--Inventory highlight: The number of unsold homes dropped in every Northeast city in October. Manchester, N.H., and Boston led the way with a drop of 26 percent and 23 percent, respectively. A recovery in home prices won't be sustained until the supply of homes on the market falls further.
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Westfield Students Named Top One Percent in Nation |
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By Westfield Public Schools
11/21/2009
Six Westfield High School seniors have been named semifinalists in the National Merit Scholarship program. Westfield High School Principal Peter Renwick gave his personal congratulations to: (l-r) Abigail Burton, Andrew Gates, Jessica Margolies, Andrew Marino and Yixiao Wang. (Sophie Greene was missing from the photo).
According to the National Merit Scholarship Corporation, more than 1.5 million juniors in over 21,000 high schools entered the National Merit Program by taking the Preliminary SAT/National Merit Scholarship Qualifying Test (PSAT/NMSQT®), which served as an initial screen of program entrants. The nationwide pool of semifinalists represents less than one percent of U.S. high school seniors. Westfield’s current seniors have an opportunity to continue in the competition to become a finalist for Merit Scholarship awards that will be offered next spring.
Photo above: Six Westfield High School seniors have been named semifinalists in the National Merit Scholarship program. Westfield High School Principal Peter Renwick gave his personal congratulations to: (l-r) Abigail Burton, Andrew Gates, Jessica Margolies, Andrew Marino and Yixiao Wang. (Sophie Greene was missing from the photo). According to the National Merit Scholarship Corporation, more than 1.5 million juniors in over 21,000 high schools entered the National Merit Program by taking the Preliminary SAT/National Merit Scholarship Qualifying Test (PSAT/NMSQT®), which served as an initial screen of program entrants. The nationwide pool of semifinalists represents less than one percent of U.S. high school seniors. Westfield’s current seniors have an opportunity to continue in the competition to become a finalist for Merit Scholarship awards that will be offered next spring
Photo courtesy of the Westfield Public Schools
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Last Updated ( Monday, 21 December 2009 )
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Westfield Area Y Kicks Off Annual 7th Grade Initiative Program |
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By Westfield Area Y 11/19/2009
The Westfield Area Y recently hosted a kick off of its Annual 7th Grade Initiative Program in the Gym at the Main Y facility, 220 Clark Street in Westfield. Students were able to Rock Climb, use the interactive Sports Wall and participate in fitness testing. Healthy refreshments were also served.
This program is available to all 7th graders in the service areas of Cranford, Garwood, Mountainside and Westfield and is intended to heighten awareness and combat the epidemic of youth obesity that our community/nation is currently facing. All participants who do not currently have an active Y membership will receive a complimentary limited pre-teen program plus membership to the Westfield Area Y that will last through June 2010. Cranford 7th Graders can use the Main Y facility as well as the NEW Y Teen & Family Wellness Center conveniently located at the Cranford Community Center.
Please contact Greg Hatzisavvas at (908) 233-2700 x251 or e-mail ghatzisavvas@westfieldynj.org if you are interested in participating or if you have any questions regarding this program.
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What Makes Westfield New Jersey A Great Town |
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Living In | Westfield, N.J.
A Cozy Town That Appeals to All Generations
Juan Arredondo for The New York Times
SMALL-TOWN AMERICA A wide range of housing styles can be found throughout Westfield. Values have held up better in the middle and lower ranges, including areas like Lamberts Mill Road on the south end. More Photos >
Published: September 11, 2009
MATT LOUGHLIN and his wife, Maggie, were raising two sons in Middlesex. But Mr. Loughlin’s broadcasting career was on the rise, so they looked to move near the Newark airport, because he traveled for work. They ended up in Westfield.
Nearly 13 years ago, just before the birth of their third son, Liam, they paid $279,000 for a five-bedroom Dutch colonial. Mr. Loughlin’s career has advanced — he became the radio voice of the New Jersey Devils hockey team three years ago — but the family remains firmly ensconced in Westfield.
“This sounds so pie in the sky, but it really is small-town America,” Mr. Loughlin said recently. “It’s too big of a town to say you know everybody, but you see enough people you know.”
As families like the Loughlins have moved into Westfield, a Union County municipality of about 30,000, it has slowly lost some of its mom-and-pop ambience and morphed into a suburb of restaurants and boutiques.
But many of the attributes that drew the Loughlins still hold sway. The town has a coziness that stems from an intergenerational appeal. People who grew up here often choose to move back as adults — to be near parents and to be parents themselves. It’s the kind of community where children ride their bicycles and skateboards downtown, gathering at delis and Italian-ice stands.
“It’s just a very welcoming place,” said Brian Granstrand, a lawyer who moved to Westfield 24 years ago with his wife, Suzanne. They have four children, 21 to 16.
A corollary: Because it is relatively safe and has a well-regarded school district, Westfield has also become more expensive. A recent look at the Garden State Multiple Listing Service (gsmls.com) revealed 133 homes on the market. The median price was $714,000.
“When I retire, I think I’m going to have to move, because property taxes are very high,” Mr. Granstrand said.
Westfield is likely to undergo still more changes. Today, it lacks direct train service to New York City; commuters must make a connection at Pennsylvania Station in Newark. But according to Andrew Skibitsky, the mayor of Westfield, construction is under way on a railroad tunnel that will provide direct service to Midtown Manhattan by 2016.
Mr. Skibitsky sees this as a “major, major benefit for Westfield.”
Even in this economy, the town has not had to trim its municipal services. Staff reductions have been made through attrition, he said. There are only a few empty storefronts downtown.
As the town has become more popular, traffic flow and parking have become an issue. As Keith Gibbons, a 50-year resident, put it, “Everybody’s going to circle through town three times to look for a parking spot right in front of the place where they want to go.”
Mr. Gibbons remembers when more blue-collar workers and municipal employees like police officers and firefighters lived in town. But in the late 1990s, he said, smaller homes were demolished so “McMansions” could be built.
“When you can walk through town and remember who used to own a store and knew those people,” he said, “you have a different take.”
But he, too, is planning to stay. Westfield has become much more exclusive than it was when he bought his first home in 1983, for $72,000. “And I felt at the time, did we overpay?” Mr. Gibbons said. But like the Loughlins, he is comfortable with his decision.
WHAT YOU’LL FIND
Westfield is about 25 miles southwest of New York, roughly in the middle of built-up Union County, west of Elizabeth and Newark Liberty International Airport. Springfield, Kenilworth, Cranford and Garwood are to the north and east, and Mountainside, Scotch Plains and Clark to the south and west.
The Garden State Parkway is accessible from Route 28, or North Avenue, which slices through Westfield, then Garwood and Cranford. Westfield is described as having two parts — the north side and the somewhat newer south side — though residents say they don’t see a lot of difference.
Broad Street, a wide and leafy boulevard lined with homes in a mix of styles, runs through the north end of the town, near Echo Lake Country Club and the rolling Fairview Cemetery. Chestnut Street, which leads to the complex of youth baseball fields known as Gumbert Park, is stately, with speed bumps slowing cars through the area.
“The sense of community is very powerful,” said Scott Gleason, an agent for Re/Max Properties Unlimited who has been a resident since 2003. “There are a terrific number of people who grew up in Westfield in the 1950s and 1960s, move away, but come back because they want to recapture what it was like growing up.”
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Last Updated ( Monday, 21 December 2009 )
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Westfield Receives A Coveted Four Bloom Rating! |
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By Downtown Westfield Corporation 10/6/2009
Westfield recently competed for the first time in the national America in Bloom® competition and was recognized at the eighth annual America in Bloom (AIB) Symposium and Awards Program on Saturday, October 3, 2009 at the Hershey Lodge in Hershey, Pennsylvania. Westfield was the only town in the state of New Jersey to compete in the 2009 competition.
AIB is a national campaign and contest that promotes enhancing communities through beautification. In the friendly competition, communities are matched by population and evaluated on their efforts related to floral displays, urban forestry, landscaped areas, turf and groundcover, tidiness, environmental awareness, heritage conservation, and community involvement.
Judges visited Westfield in early July. Among 25 towns in the United States, Westfield was one of three finalists in two of the eight criteria: Floral Displays and Urban Forestry with the winning towns being Greendale, Indiana and Milwaukee, Wisconsin respectively. Westfield also received a four-bloom rating out of a possible five-bloom rating in recognition of its floral displays. Westfield followed second in the population category with Collierville, Tennessee winning the top prize in the 20,001 to 50,000 population category. In addition, Westfield’s efforts were mentioned many times in a new edition of America in Bloom’s Best Ideas book published in September 2009.
"Westfield in Bloom" was the name of the local program during the America in Bloom competition held during the spring and summer. Through this effort co-lead by Sherry Cronin, Executive Director, Downtown Westfield Corporation and Dave Williams of Williams Nursery, many town departments, organizations, businesses and residents joined the committee and continue to be part of an ongoing effort. A WestfieldinBloom.com blog was created by Dave Williams to garner support for the Westfield in Bloom program.
"We were pleased to receive this recognition. America in Bloom officials and judges said that Westfield scored extremely well especially for a first year community." stated Sherry Cronin. Dave Williams added "We are looking forward to sharing the detailed report and judge’s recommendations with the Town and committee and to garner support to compete again next year."
Westfield received a total of 859 points of the possible 1000 points across the eight criteria.
America in Bloom is an independent, non-profit 501(c)(3) organization encouraging nationwide beautification programs, personal and community involvement, educational programs and the challenge of a friendly competition among participating communities across the country. To date, more than 170 communities in 38 states have participated in the AIB program.
Photo above: Dave Williams of Williams Nursery, Sherry Cronin & Beth Brenner of Downtown Westfield Corporation accept Westfield’s Four Bloom Rating from the recent America in Bloom competition.
Photo courtesy of Downtown Westfield Corporation |
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Real Estate Market Review |
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One of the many dire predictions done these past few months by many New Jersey ‘bubbleologists’ out there
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That is all those who indulge in the contemplation of
bubbles in the New Jersey real estate market of all sizes and colors, whether real or imaginary, coming our
way - was that by now real estate markets everywhere would be inundated
and swept away by a tsunami of foreclosures of apocalyptic proportions.
The
general rationale among those specializing in the fine art of staring
at crystal balls (or perhaps at several empty bottles of rum) was that
the steady increase in interest rates, the consequence of a tightening
monetary policy implemented by the Fed since mid-2004, would have led
by now to a collapse of the adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) market,
since consumers could not possibly cope with the increased monthly
payments. This, in turn, would dramatically increase mortgage defaults
and foreclosures, with the end result that real estate markets
everywhere would be flooded with excess inventory at deflated prices,
thus causing markets to crash - the tsunami I was talking about.
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Last Updated ( Sunday, 15 November 2009 )
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